Editor’s note: Eddie Burkhalter is a staff writer at Alabama Political Reporter and a fellow at the Poynter-Koch Media and Journalism Fellowship. The program is a partnership between the Poynter Institute and the Charles Koch Institute. Charles G. Koch…
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Rain becomes widespread across Alabama Friday and Friday night as a warm front lifts northward. The rain could even be heavy at times, especially over the northern and western counties. The air should be fairly stable, so we don’t expect any severe storms, and probably little lightning. Temperatures should hold in the 60s.
SEVERE CLEAR: Nothing but sunshine across Alabama this afternoon; temperatures are in the upper 60s and low 70s over the northern half of the state. Tonight will be clear and very cool; most communities will see a low between 40 and 45 degrees early tomorrow morning.
Our Tuesday has featured a clearing sky as drier moves into the state, and we also have breezy northwest winds at times today in the 10-20 mph range. This afternoon, we are seeing a sunny sky with temperatures in the upper 60s and lower 70s.
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DRIER AIR RETURNS: Radar shows the last batch of showers over far East and Southeast Alabama early this morning; that rain is rapidly moving into Georgia, and dry air will take over. We are projecting some delightful autumn weather through Thursday with sunny pleasant days and clear chilly nights. Highs will be in the low 70s today and tomorrow, followed by mid 70s Thursday. Lows will be well down in the 40s, with 30s possible for colder spots.
WET: A large mass of rain covers much of North/Central Alabama this afternoon. Not seeing any lightning over the northern half of the state; the best instability is over South Alabama, where SPC maintains a “slight risk” (level 2/5) of severe storms for tonight. The risk of severe thunderstorm activity for North Alabama is very low, although a “marginal risk” is still in play.
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STRONG STORMS LATER TODAY: On the maps this morning, a deep surface low will move from the Great Plains up to the Great Lakes region by tonight, dragging a cold front into Alabama. Early morning strong to severe storms are lined up from Southeast Texas into southern Illinois. These storms will weaken and move into Northwest Alabama later this morning. Odds of severe storms over North/Central Alabama look very low during the afternoon as the air will be fairly stable; in fact the first batch of storms should basically dissipate at some point over North Alabama. To the south, storms will maintain their intensity over the southern part of the state, most likely… this is where instability values will be higher.
For us in Alabama, the rest of our Saturday will continue to feature a cloudy sky and cool temps with 50s and 60s where the rain is falling, while other locations are in the 70s, especially across western and southwestern portions of the state.
Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor will move farther inland over the Florida Panhandle this afternoon, and will then move across portions of the southeastern United States later tonight and Sunday. The cyclone is expected to move offshore of the coast of North Carolina into the western Atlantic by late Sunday.
CLOUDY, COOL DAY: A deck of mid/high levels clouds covers Alabama this afternoon, on the top side of the circulation of Tropical Storm Nestor in the Gulf of Mexico. Temperatures are only in the low to mid 60s in many areas; about 10 degrees below average for mid-October in Alabama.